Friday, April 28, 2017

Draft Day One = A Trade and No Pick

On the first day of the 2017 draft The Ted pulled off his 30th draft day trade when he traded the 29th pick in the first round to the Browns for the first pick of the second round #33 and the first pick of the fourth round #108.

At the time of the trade the Browns had just picked safety Jabrill Peppers and the Falcons were on the clock with the 26th pick, which they traded up to get UCLA defensive end Takkarist McKinley.

At 27 the Bills drafted cornerback Tre'Various White from LSU with defensive end Taco Charlton going to the Cowboys and tight end David Njoku going to Browns with the Packers pick.

The next three picks were Wisconsin outside linebacker T.J. Watt to the Steelers; the Falcons traded up to take linebacker Reuben Foster from Alabama and the Saints on a pick they got from the Patriots picked Wisconsin offensive tackle Ryan Ramczyk.

The trade was the right thing to do like I said yesterday. I feel all the players on the Packers draft list, except for maybe Watt, are still on the board.

Out of the top 150 prospects listed by former Cowboys draft guru Gil Brandt only 4 of the top 28 are still on the board: 15. Offensive tackle Cam Robinson from Alabama; 25. running back Dalvin Cook from Florida State; 27. cornerback Quincy Wilson from Florida and 28. cornerback Kevin King from Washington.

The 1st need position was at right guard, but with the signing of greybeard Jahri Evans guard is not a high priority.

I have my doubts whether The Ted will draft a cornerback high with 2015 No. 1 Damarious Randall and No. 2 Quinten Rollins and recently re-signed Davon House as the top 3 on the depth chart. Even if The Ted wanted a cornerback the top 4 were already chosen: Marshon Lattimore (#11-Saints), Marlon Humphrey (#16-Ravens), Adoree' Jackson (#18-Titans) and Gareon Conley (#24-Raiders).

So next on the wish list is a pass rusher, but there was a run on edge rushers in the first round with defensive ends Myles Garrett (#1-Browns), Solomon Thomas (#3-49ers), Derek Barnett (#14-Eagles), Jonathan Allen (#17-Redskins), Taco Charlton (#28-Cowboys) and outside linebackers Charles Harris (#22-Dolphins) and T.J. Watt (#30-Steelers) off the board.

So next on the list is running back. The 2 top running backs were taken early with Leonard Fournette going to the Jaguars at No. 4 and Christian McCaffrey to the Panthers at No. 8.

Everyone is saying that the most loaded position is running back. According to Brandt the remaining running backs are: 25. Dalvin Cook; 35. Curtis Samuel, RB, Ohio State; 65. Samaje Perine, RB, Oklahoma; 79. Alvin Kamara, RB, Tennessee; 81. Brian Hill, RB, Wyoming; 88. D'Onta Foreman, RB, Texas; 91. James Conner, RB, Pittsburgh; 130. Donnel Pumphrey, RB, San Diego St.; 133. Kareem Hunt, RB, Toledo; 142. Jeremy McNichols, RB, Boise St. and 144. Tarik Cohen, RB-KR, North Carolina A&T.

Cook and Kamara were talked about as late first and early second round choices by others. Also available is "Bad Boy" and documented "Girl Hitter" Joe Mixon, who is the most talent running back in the draft.

So here's the conundrum.  Mixon will be drafted and the crew at ESPN radio think most likely in the third round. However, I feel he will be picked before the Packers second second round pick comes around at 61.

Mixon is a 6.05 prospect, officially. He is compared to Le'Veon Bell of the Steelers. His NFL Draft Profile is: Mixon has the talent to be an every-down, all-day running back with the potential to take over a game on the ground or through the air. Life against weaker Big 12 defenses has created a more relaxed rushing approach for Mixon who will have to play at a faster pace as an NFL back. Mixon's vision is just average and he could struggle to create for himself in front of a subpar offensive line; however, he can play in any rushing scheme and can be moved all over the field as a matchup option.

Cook is a 6.28 prospect. He is compared to Edgerrin James, but I think he is similar to Eddie Lacy, except for not being as tough between the tackles. His NFL draft profile is: Very talented runner with outstanding balance, footwork and burst. Cook lacks the power that you may find with some running backs in this year's draft, but he is a homerun hitter with a resume featuring monster games against his most highly regarded opponents. Cook creates for himself with elusiveness and speed, but his value could be diminished by injuries, character and issues in pass protection. If everything checks out, he could become a rookie of the year candidate right away.

Kamara is a 5.92 prospect. His NFL Draft Profile is: Ascending, competitive runner who has flashed explosive NFL talent at various times over the last two seasons. A committed runner with excellent balance who finds yardage that isn't blocked for him. While he has never logged 20 carries in a single game, he has the talent to play on all three downs if he can prove his durability.

Offensive line prospects are pretty much still around with only offensive tackles Garett Bolles (#20-Broncos) and Ramczyk (#32-Saints) off the board. The Packers don't need an offensive tackle with former No. 1 Bryan Bulaga, Pro Bowl alternate David Bakhtiari as well as last year's No. 2 Jason Spriggs and No. 6 Kyle Murphy, so all the offensive linemen (guards and centers) are still on the board.

The top guard Forrest Lamp (not Gump) from Western Kentucky was projected as a possible pick for the Packers at 29. He is a 6.2 prospect and his NFL Draft Profile is: Four-year starter at left tackle whose lack of length will likely force him inside on the next level. He has the athleticism to handle athletic interior rushers while being able to fit into diverse rushing attacks that ask more from the guards and centers. His ability to potentially line up at tackle, guard or center will only increase his value. Lamp's 2016 performance against Alabama's talented edge players was a resume-builder that shined a spotlight on his potential as a pro.

The Packers pick first on Day Two and then 29th at the end of the second round. They also pick 29th in the third round. However, I can see The Ted trading the No. 33 pick to pick up some more picks. I can also see The Ted throwing a curve and picking a lesser prospect edge rusher.


I would take Cook at 33 and maybe trade 61 because Mixon and Lamp will be gone by then and The Ted has been good at drafting from the fourth to the seventh round. 

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