Friday, April 28, 2017

Draft Day Two: What To Do?

It seems The Ted is ready to trade to out of the top pick of the second round and not knowing how far down the Packers will drop makes it a little hard to predict who the first Packers draft pick will be. I am thinking The Ted will still be looking for a pass rusher, a running back and a cornerback first, so let's look at what is left.

The pass rushers were picked pretty clean, but there are still a few left worthy of second round and third round consideration with their NFL Profile.

47. Tim Williams, OLB, Alabama: (6.0) - Williams' career might be as a pass-rush specialist, but he's talented enough at that endeavor to become a dangerous rush linebacker in the NFL.
48. Chris Wormley, DE, Michigan: (5.83) - Wormley could be coaxed into a more sophisticated pass-rush approach with coaching, but he's not there yet. His size, athleticism and versatility gives him a chance to earn early playing time and to become an eventual starter.
68. Tyus Bowser, OLB, Houston: (5.86) - Ascending pass-rush prospect who is still learning the fundamentals of his position thanks to a late commitment to the sport. Bowser's movement ability in space creates interesting possibilities for teams looking for a twitched-up toy to play with. Bowser lacks production, but his explosive characteristics off the edge will push him up the draft board and give him a chance to play well above where some scouts might project him.
75. Dawuane Smoot, DE, Illinois: (5.49) - Duck-footed, face-up rusher able to generate some power in his rush, Smoot failed to put together the breakout season many predicted after a strong junior showing. He lacks a track record of pass rush production to excite NFL teams as an early round pick, but his athleticism could create an opportunity for him as a 3-4 rush end if given the chance.

Only 2 running backs have been taken so there are several very good backs still on the board.

25. Dalvin Cook, RB, Florida Sate: (6.2) - Very talented runner with outstanding balance, footwork and burst. Cook lacks the power that you may find with some running backs in this year's draft, but he is a homerun hitter with a resume featuring monster games against his most highly regarded opponents. Cook creates for himself with elusiveness and speed, but his value could be diminished by injuries, character and issues in pass protection. If everything checks out, he could become a rookie of the year candidate right away.
NR. Joe Mixon, RB, Oklahoma State: (6.0) - Mixon has the talent to be an every-down, all-day running back with the potential to take over a game on the ground or through the air. Life against weaker Big 12 defenses has created a more relaxed rushing approach for Mixon who will have to play at a faster pace as an NFL back. Mixon's vision is just average and he could struggle to create for himself in front of a subpar offensive line; however, he can play in any rushing scheme and can be moved all over the field as a matchup option.
79. Alvin Kamara, RB, Tennessee: (5.92) - Ascending, competitive runner who has flashed explosive NFL talent at various times over the last two seasons. A committed runner with excellent balance who finds yardage that isn't blocked for him. While he has never logged 20 carries in a single game, he has the talent to play on all three downs if he can prove his durability.
88. D'Onta Foreman, RB, Texas: (5.76) - Former three-star recruit who turned that a chip on his shoulder into a 2,000-yard junior season. Foreman has outstanding foot quickness and wiggle for a back his size, but will need to run behind his pads and with more aggression on the next level. Teams could be split on his draft value as some may covet his size and athleticism while others will be concerned about a lack of third down value. Ultimately he has the talent to be a good NFL starter, but he's still a work in progress.
65. Samaje Perine, RB, Oklahoma: (5.68) - Perine is a physical runner who can create additional yardage through power and can be a complimentary "banger" for a team who already has a slasher. Perine doesn't have the burst or play speed to be a dynamic lead back, but he can handle a heavy workload if needed and he should become an immediate short-yardage and goal-line option.

There were 5 cornerbacks taken, but there are still 8 with a NFL Draft Profile of 5.7 or better left on the board.

80. Sidney Jones, CB, Washington: (5.84) - Jones is a "casino cornerback" who has the ball skills and instincts to tilt the odds in his favor when quarterbacks look his way. His toughness and desire to make plays on the ball are remarkably similar to his friend and off-season workout buddy, Marcus Peters. Jones has lockdown corner talent but unfortunately, teams will have to wrestle with his draft positioning as there is no guarantee that Jones can come back with the same quickness and speed as before.
32. Chidobe Awuzie, CB, Colorado: (5.82) - Sticky man-cover corner who possesses the reactive athleticism and foot quickness to maintain coverage responsibilities around the field. Awuzie's combination of size and speed pairs well with his instincts providing him what he needs to compete downfield. His inconsistencies as a tackler could turn off some teams, but his abilities as a gunner on special teams may counter that. He can play outside or in the slot and has traits and talent to compete for early playing time.
28. Kevin King, CB, Washington: (5.81) - Unusually tall cornerback with experience playing in the slot and as a starting safety. Showed improved instincts and ball production in 2016, but there are still concerns about whether he has the athleticism and recovery speed to utilize his length to play the football. Might be best suited to more zone coverage or off-man based on his speed limitations, but in either scheme he'll need to improve his aggressiveness as a tackler.
104. Fabian Moreau, CB, UCLA: (5.76) - Moreau is an explosive athlete who had to transition from running back over to cornerback. While the transition has taken some time thanks to inexperience and his 2015 injury, Moreau's tape shows a more confident and consistent cover man than before. Moreau's strength, speed and athleticism will move him up draft boards, but a torn pectoral muscle at his pro day could cause him to drop by a round.

Finally only 2 offensive linemen were taken in the first round and both were tackles. The top guards are still available, but if the Packers drop down too far in the second round the guard position would be best left to the fourth round and below.

41. Forrest Lamp, G, Western Kentucky: (6.2) - Four-year starter at left tackle whose lack of length will likely force him inside on the next level. He has the athleticism to handle athletic interior rushers while being able to fit into diverse rushing attacks that ask more from the guards and centers. His ability to potentially line up at tackle, guard or center will only increase his value. Lamp's 2016 performance against Alabama's talented edge players was a resume-builder that shined a spotlight on his potential as a pro.
67. Dion Dawkins, G, Temple: (5.8) - Quality tackle who operates with good balance and solid technique. Shows some good initial quickness and a smooth kick-slide out of his stance, but might be better in short areas as a guard rather than in open space as a tackle. He's athletic enough to operate in space, but power appears to be his calling card. His wide-hand approach in pass protection could be a difficult habit to break, but he has the natural power to withstand bull rush that might come with that. Dawkins is a well-schooled, three-year starter who has chance to transition into an early starter.


When the Packers are finally on the board at some time during the second round either at 61 with its original pick or somewhere in between 33 and 60 I would take either Cook or Mixon or Lamp if they are available. However, if the Packers drop too far down in the second then Tim Williams or 1 of the cornerbacks might be the best bet.

No comments:

Post a Comment